IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Sun Sep 22 2024 07:12 PM
Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC

Quote:

Last two GFS runs (12z and 18z) show a major (cat 4) impact on the Florida Panhandle, then it rapidly moving inland, with it maintaining hurricane strength almost into Tennessee/North Caroilna. (Cat 2 winds over Atlanta). Euro is less, Icon has shifted east toward Steinhatchee, but not as strong. If the GFS is anywhere close to accurate, folks won't have a lot of time to prepare, as it shows landfall early evening Thursday.




GFS has been consistently bullish (early on) with intensity and track. Other models starting to get onboard. 18z GFS has a 940 mb (+/-5 mb) Cat 4 landfalling between Carabelle and Panacea Thursday late. Met a real nice couple vacationing at the condo here in DBS that I work at part time and while talking about all the damage the condo sustained from Ian and Nicole (repair work ongoing 2 years/ 2.5 million $ later) found out they recently resettled to Panacea with a view of the Gulf and have never been through a major. I'm worried for what they may be facing if latest GFS is right.



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