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18z GFS model backed off on intensity, but track remained up near Steinhatchee as a borderline cat 2/3.. 18z and 0z icon is effectively right around Crystal River, but the 0z gets down to 965mb (also a borderline cat 2/3, more on the cat 3 side). 0z GFS is effectively the same as the 18z. NHC's track forecast is looking good. |