Quote:
Models are now starting to take in critical recon data, although Monday there was just one flight. Also, models have now played at least a little catch-up with how well-developed East Pac TEN-E (Major Hurricane John) became (unforeseen by the models ~ however those of us paying attention saw well ahead of time that TEN-E wanted to pull an Otis 2.0), as well as its landfall location well left of modeled forecast tracks.
Exactly my takeaway. John hit a sweet spot for rapid intensification, and PTC9/Helene has the potential to do the same, possibly on a broader scale. Very concerned for the heavily populated Gulf coast of central Florida and my son in St. Pete Beach (6' above MSL) if short-notice evacuation becomes necessary.
|
Re: NINE Forecast Lounge