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Models are pretty tight at the moment. Confidence is good too.
Very interesting how the models where such a mess of confusion then suddenly all of them came to nearly the same conclusion. They all show a rapid intensification (Cat 3 in 48 hours) followed by a quick drop off (Cat 1 in 72 hours). Once it clears Cuba its going to race NNE pretty quickly, going from 8 AM Thurs out in the gulf level with Naples, then just 12 hours later (8 PM Thurs) about to make landfall in the Apalachee Bay area.
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Re: NINE Forecast Lounge