MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Sep 28 2024 10:44 AM
Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof

GFS On this one develops it and makes landfall near mobile, however tthe CMC moves it further east, gets it caught up in shear and makes landfall in the Florida peninsula as a very weak system. The Euro and Icon generally head it weaker toward Florida (but the run ends before it gets there on those models). Biggest difference in GFS vs the others is the interaction with the cold front.

So, unfortunately it looks like another system to watch. Timing probably around October 8th for any landfall in the US, give or take a few days.



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