IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Sun Oct 06 2024 03:44 PM
Re: Milton Lounge

Quote:

18z TVCN consensus has shifted back north to Bradenton, so now the official track is SOUTH of the consensus.



FOX weather calls this the "windshield wiper" effect. Official forecast lags consensus, then consensus changes... back and forth.

If all of the changes are smoothed out now since we have an increasingly organized TC with a constant feed of flight data up to landfall, track should even out in the long run, unless there is an "October surprise".


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