Always tough to judge small course changes vs long terms trends. For example so far today Milton is riding the N edge of forecast. So is he already feeling the upper level tug that will pull him NE? Or this just a random wobble? The eye has clouded up making the center more difficult to judge vs that clear pin hole we had yesterday.

As noted above by @TXEB Milton has two more turns to make, a NNE motion from Mexico into the gulf, then a more ENE turn into Tampa right before or at landfall.

I remember when Irma kept trending W which completed changed landfall. She was still within the cone but went from an east coast to a west coast storm: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/IRMA_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line_and_wind The error can be seen in advisory #34 which shows a hit on Miami, then on advisory #40 the hit on Naples becomes apparent, that is a 100 mile difference.

Intensity models show Milton should weaken from here on out, albeit slowly at first. There is a chance of slight strengthening or at least steady state for the next 36 hours.