| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Tue Oct 08 2024 01:34 PM |
|
Re: Milton Lounge
|
Regarding SSTs Helene had only minimal "cooling," in air quotes, on the eastern Gulf, and virtually none right along the west coast of Florida. There is a (relatively-speaking) cool wake, but a lot of it has recovered.
SSTs this year have been record high. What could have been an impactful wake in some seasons, is scarcely so now. One way of visualizing this is with Kerry Emanuel's MPI, which is shown below with Milton's current forecast track overlaid. There is enough MPI to easily support Category 4-5 on the Saffir-Simpson up through landfall:
Image cr: CIMSS
Basin-wide MPI:
