Cape Coral could flood again like Ian. I'm watching it very closely as I have a property I am considering buying over there. If this S trend continues the wind speed for that area increases. Its currently high end TS, low end Cat 1 so nothing too bad as long as the structure is secure.

1) looking less and less likely, however the cone still covers are large area, approximately 130 miles as the crow flies from the northern edge (Spring Hill) to the southern end (Cape Coral). But the models have been trending south as Milton continues to move further E without out getting far enough N. In fact as this point none of the main models show landfall N of Tampa Bay. And "better" is relative... I want this thing as far N as possible.

2) not much other then steering current effect both, so where one goes the other will follow.