From the NHC discussion:

The NHC track forecast is nudged a
little to the north of the previous one to be in better agreement
with the latest models. It should be noted that this forecast is
based on the model fields, not the interpolated models which
appear to be too far south. Users are urged not to focus on the
exact landfall point as the average error at 24 hours is about 40
miles.

The models have been pointing S, the storms center has been E of forecast for awhile and is still E this AM. Granted the error is small, like 20 miles but it keeps adding up. Currently models have landfall between Sarasota and Punta Gorda with an exit from Coco Beach to Ft Pierce.

Last few frames show the eye filling in, hopefully this is the start of the weakening phase. Hard to believe we still have a Cat 5 out there with less then 24 hours to go.