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Over the last 2 hours, if you look at the center fixes the movement had been consistent at 35 degrees, confirmed by the 11am advisory. If you look at the last center determined by two aircraft passes at roughly 25.72 -84.43, Milton has taken a definite western shift/wobble or an average 30 degree track over the last 2 hours. This -5 degree shift if maintained and not a wobble would change landfall into Tampa Bay. This is the crazy task that the NHC is dealing with when this angle of approach and the angle of the shoreline are working against each other when looking for the landfall location! |