Kraig
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Oct 09 2024 04:45 PM
Re: Milton Lounge

Quote:

NON-STANDARD MODEL

Today's 18Z Convection Allowing Model HRRR which can be useful for hybridizing TCs is showing the center going right into Tampa Bay about 10-11PM EDT tonight.



The 4pm location from NHC was 64 miles from Egmont Key (entrance to Tampa Bay) at a 43 degree bearing. At 17mph, Milton would be over at ~8pm, so the HRRR is way too slow. Also, the 4pm bearing for Milton was 35 degrees which will take him to St Pete Beach/Treasure Island if he maintains same course.


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