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The eye is opening up as the storm expands, it appears to be moving ENE but the expansion makes it difficult to judge. Landfall somewhere between Sarasota and Venice, I don't see enough time to cover anymore distance. The center of pressure and the center of rotation may be different due to shear at this point. Its 50 miles to the coast with an eye that rough looking and 40 miles wide.
That looks way too far south to me, but it would be welcomed for us in Hillsborough. I just don't see it playing out that way as that is almost due east. What we saw was a wobble, not a track change. The center is still well off land, won't come ashore for another 2 1/2 to 3 1/2 hours. Nothion is still NE/ENE, so that takes the Venice/Siesta Key and most of Sarasota areas out of play unless there is another major wobble.
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