A dry but well defined area of low pressure in the eastern Tropical Atlantic is unlikely to cook up much organized deep convection over the next few days as it tracks generally west, but has increasing model support to encounter less hostile to even favorable conditions for development once approaching, near or over the Antilles, and given that such a scenario could place many islands in play for a tropical cyclone, we are starting a lounge on this feature at this time.

The Low has already been Invest tagged 94L, and to prevent confusion with last month's 94L, the title is "October 94L Lounge."

NHC development odds at the time of this original post are an almost nonexistent 10% within 48 hours, but ramps up to 40% within 7 days.

More details to come

94L developed a well-defined circulation overnight and this morning with better measurements has been confirmed to have become Tropical Storm Oscar. The title has been updated accordingly 10-19-24
Ciel