cieldumort
(Moderator)
Thu Oct 24 2024 11:56 AM
Rafael Lounge

Models and ensemble members are increasingly warming up to the idea that a broad area of low pressure will form in the western Caribbean or across Central America (in the form of a gyre) next week, and out of this region a tropical cyclone could develop around the end of the month or early November. Generally, operational and ensemble member runs suggest about a 40% chance of TC genesis in this region, which would immediately be landlocked, and as such, we are starting a Lounge on this modeled feature.

More details to come

The modeled broad low pressure area in the Caribbean has formed and has been Invest tagged 97L. The title has been updated accordingly.
2024-11-02 12:00 11.3 -80.7 20

NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (97L) at 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), and the title has been updated accordingly.
11-3-24 3:30PM EST

Ciel


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