| IsoFlame |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Fri May 30 2025 08:35 AM |
|
Re: General Long Range Lounge
|
Quote:
Gfs still mostly alone, but noting the east pacific pop up here as well. Something to watch, but doubt either of the runs from today materialize. In other words, it's likely if something happens, the east pacific is more likely.
Yeppers... GFS may be crying wolf, but the 06Z run doubled down on a strong TC in the GOMEX June 9/10th eyeballing landfall near Biloxi as a fairly strong hurricane. Yes, hurricanes are rare in early June and we have a deep trough setting us up for an unusual June 1st FROPA, but SST's in the central and eastern GOMEX are climbing into the mid-80's and the atmospheric parameters will become favorable the second week in June when the Atlantic ridge re-establishes. Either other models start to hit on this, or the GFS totally abandons the idea in future runs. We shall see...
06zMay30 GFS