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The operation GFS continues to show development, whereas the others do not. (18z is back to a major hit on LA/MS) However there still are signals on the Euro Ensembles for something Euro Ensembles: ![]() GFS Ensembles: ![]() There is also a weak area off the SE (and FLorida) that the Euro and Canadian pick up. Normally I'd write of the GFS, and mostly I do, but the MJO, Euro ensembles, make me think there's a chance something tries to develop, I just doubt it'll be anything like the GFS has been showing. (And may not succeed) Another view of the Euro Ensembles: ![]() Overall, the East Pacific is much more likely to see another system than the Atlantic |