MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sun Jun 08 2025 07:38 AM
Re: General Long Range Lounge

The GFS model keeps placings storm near around the West Caribbean into the gulf in a week to 10 days, however, again the other models don't do anything with it. GFS been in the "week to 10 days" mode for over 10 days now, so it shifts the timeframe back. The Venezuela mountain induced vorticity flaw the model has is really on display this year. However, the flooding rainfall in Central America is real, the hurricanes are not. The pattern for these style phantom storms is they get delayed and/or shifted further west/south until it doesn't exist anymore.

The East Pacific will probably see the most activity from the energy/moisture once beyond central America. But again, it looks like another quiet week in the Atlantic basin.



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