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As of today's available 12z runs, the consensus is that 94E (likely then Erick) takes a track more or less directly into Mexico, never producing an Atlantic side TC. However, given the expected location of a retrograding TUTT later next week, this would open the door for a moisture surge from the remnants to enter south Texas, and a flood concern for south Texas late next week regardless of BoC development remains. ![]() |