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Now that models have seen where 94E actually developed as well as gotten a better handle on its environment, there is not a single example left of a good model suggesting it crosses over into the Bay of Campeche. In fact, the TUTT could be weaker and/or more diffuse than expected, aiding in what is now East Pac FIVE/ERICK to track even further west, with more time over water to become what could be the first East Pac Major of the year. Also now that models no longer have this potential crossover to latch on to, virtually none of them show anything brewing in the W ATL for the foreseeable future. |