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The Gulf area mentioned in the models is interesting, a lot of mixed signals, but enough to make it worth watching into next week, again another case where the models are having a hard time consolidating on anything. It'll likely be something that slips off the atlantic then goes back into the Gulf and it may sit around enough to develop. Ensembles pick it up better than the operational models right now. Effectively the dot cluster in this map (in a week) ![]() |