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12z gfs has a few notable changes, it develops the system fairly quickly, gets it to a depression by Sunday or Monday, possibly a storm by Tuesday, and also kicks 96l out of the picture much sooner. Giving some time for a ridge to build west, which it takes advantage of and moves over the Bahamas through the Florida straits and into the Gulf, making landfall in Texas. I'll be curious to see the other models and ensembles and if that shifts them more westward or not. -- It did some, but most still recurve, Euro AI recurves this run. However the operation euro does get further west/stronger at 12z and makes landfall in Eastern NC then goes over the outer banks and makes another landfall still really strong over Massachusetts. |