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The hurricane models (HAFS) are like 3/4 degrees south of the official forecast position at 120 hours. (about 2 south of the 12z model runs) Waiting to see if this continues or not, each change like this shrinks the out to sea odds. (Which still dominate) The official forecast for 120 hours is 22N, here is 18N, 12z's run of HAFS B was 20.1N ![]() |