Quite a bit of uncertainty is developing int he longer range, not that it won't turn north, but exactly when. It's likely a bit better news for Bermuda, but may be a little closer to the outer banks, but likely offshore still. May be strong enough to still cause some very heavy surf and erosion though.,

The GFS ensembles shifted slightly left, where the Euro shifted right. The NHC's track is along the right side of most ensembles now which if extrapolated, would mean it would likely wind up midway between North Carolina and Bermuda, maybe slightly closer to Bermuda. A lot depends on the ridge and the trough near Newfoundland, but that possibility seems the most likely right now. Icon did shift quite a bit left at 0z, but 6z move back a bit, so the indicators of a left correction later yesterday at least halted.

Still a lot could happen in the next few days, so it's important to keep watching it. NHC track seems good right now. Recon tonight, and especially tomorrow should help solidify the longer term track better by Friday evening.

The reason I think recon is going to be vital, the 6z GFS ensembles show a pretty big spread still, and all have moved west of Bermuda. (I typically like to use bermuda as a baseline for recurving systems). With several members into the US, but most east of it.