cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Aug 19 2025 08:12 AM
Re: Cabo Verde Wave (30%)



I'm left wondering if the operationals have some catching up to do with the reality of a stronger southern lobe.

0z ECMWF ensembles seem to be honing in on the southwestern lobe and taken together have implied roughly 75% odds of formation within 72 hours as this portion tracks WNW-NW towards the Leewards.