The Atlantic SST configuration has turned quite favorable-looking (for TC development) over the last couple weeks, in large part driven by reduced trades over the Caribbean.

In fact, 2025 now ranks #7 in terms of MDR SST anomaly (with the tropics mean anomaly removed to bias… pic.twitter.com/S33vdfWMvO

— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) August 19, 2025