Above: Invest 90L 8-21-25-1930z

The northern lobe is at last the one to watch for the greatest near-term potential, now 90L.

This developing system is in a favorable environment of very supportive SSTs, light shear, good upper-level divergence, increasing lower-level convergence and vorticity in the lower levels.

TC-centric model runs have begun and will be better served by the following recon missions already scheduled to check it out.

This system appears to have a pretty decent shot at becoming our next hurricane, possibly even Major, if all its stars remain aligned.