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This one is up to 60% development, and probably will, if itt gets too far west the TUTT will probably annihilate it. :The 12z icon shows the Caribbean islands need to at least monitor it. But the most likely land impact is still probably Bermuda, maybe even more likely to get closer than Erin around this time. As far as any continental US impacts, extremely unlikely and not really concerned for there, synoptic setup is really not going to allow it to get even as far west as Erin got. |