cieldumort
(Moderator)
Thu Sep 04 2025 12:32 PM
Re: 91L Lounge (E ATL Wave)

Now that we have an Invest tag on a more coherent system for models to latch on to, forecasts should start to improve some.

Here is the most recent (today's 0z and 06z) ensemble heat maps courtesy Tomer Burg (@burgwx) for 91L


Above: 0z-06z Ensemble heat maps from ECMWF, GFS, CMC and DeepMind
"Probability of center location within 150-km" (0-100%)


For as impressive as DeepMind has been at times, with regard to this run on 91L, it looks surprisingly uncertain.


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