cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed Sep 17 2025 09:47 AM
Re: 92L Lounge (SW of Cabo)

92L became a barely T.D. overnight. The system was actually still quite a bit troffy in appearance on IR satellite as well as scatterometer passes at the time of designation. Since that time, the system, being a touch troffy still in nature, has seemingly stretched out, rotated, and reorganized much further north, now centered somewhere about 19.5N, a large "jump" or center reformation, from its first NHC Advisory position of 13.5N. Furthermore, the southernmost portion of the trof axis now appears to be developing another lobe, perhaps to become its own Invest-tagged disturbance.

This massive jump from 13.5N likely tosses all prior model runs and forecasts into doubt. Bermuda does not seem to be at serious threat from this currently very sloppy TD.



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