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![]() A robust wave presently located in the Tropical Atlantic about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has strong but conflicting model support for development, with most models very warm on its chances, but the GFS cool as ice. Ultimately, a lot of what happens with this wave may be influenced by the trends from the lead wave ahead of it, presently located east of the Leewards. Considering that most models are hot on this wave, that NHC is also giving it a 70% chance of TC formation, and a future track that could follow Gabrielle and even left (west) of where Gabrielle has gone, thereby possibly putting Bermuda in play, we are starting a Lounge on this system at this time. Invest tag TBD. The wave in the Tropical Atlantic we have been tracking was Invest tagged overnight, 93L, and the title has been updated accordingly 2025-09-23 06:00 14.2N 47.6W 20 KTS Humberto Sep 24. The title has been updated accordingly. 2025-09-24 18:00 19.8N 54.5W 35 KTS Ciel |