Something worth keeping an eye out on with 94L is the possibility for the island topography, which can get quite high, to force convergence and additional vorticity on the Caribbean side, which also happens to be under less detrimental shear than north of the islands. While the cresting of the wave remains north of the islands, as also seen yesterday, there has been better vorticity, at times even drilling down to the surface with possibly gale force in very localized pockets, in the Caribbean itself.

If nothing else, this interaction could tug 94L to the south side of guidance for a while. An outlier would be for genesis to occur while south of Hispaniola and/or Cuba, but that does not look entirely out of the question (maybe 10% chance).

Low level northerlies in the Mona Passage (straight between Hispaniola and PR), as well as in eastern Hispaniola. What could be a touch of westerlies south of there.