Best to do nwcasting, the system is beginning to consolidate a center, but trough axis is still a bit elongated and sticks from the tip of Venezeula up to north of Aruba, where that area is likely to be the ultimate center. Models do not have a good feel for the setup right now, I think the GFS is too far off where the center is.

Counter to development is a pretty strong jet, which could expose the center. (Shear) And also mid level dry air to the west of it. So it's at least capped in the near term.

Recon is sorely needed here.