Melissa is not done disobeying forecast, apparently. Potentially preparing to enter RI overnight, and now a bit west of forecast.

Fine-turning the next few days is academic, to a point. The big picture is of a catastrophic tropical cyclone in the Caribbean, near-term, that also could track across the Bahamas into the eastern seaboard and/or eastern Canada, long-term. Sometimes these granular near-term twists and turns will ultimately have outsized influence on the longer-term track and intensity, however.