Just east of Tampico, TX this morning. ASCAT shows that while closed, the low is still a bit stretched with limited organized convection, but it continues improving. Time left over water is pivotal for near-term development odds. Modeling favors taking the system into northeast Mexico and lingering it around the MX/TX border for a couple of days, with about half of the models showing the tropical low slowly getting pulled back offshore ~ with another low chance of becoming a TC ~ and roughly the other half having it feeding if not merging with a stationary front draped across the gulf coast states, while inland.