ONE is presently a very sheared cyclone and it may come down to a subjective call as to whether or not to classify it as a Tropical Cyclone this morning, but it seems a close call despite how lousy it looks.

The western semicircle is sheared and exposed with dry air and subsidence. On the other hand, banding has arguably improved in appearance on radar, and while most bands are well east of the center, which is still right on the coast around Corpus Christi, TX, several already are likely producing tropical storm force winds. Furthermore, in the aggregate, models continue supporting further development, with some even suggesting that ONE may become a robust hybrid once back over land, producing a massive swath of heavy and locally flooding rain, at least isolated damaging wind gusts, and potentially several tornadoes and waterspouts.

METAR KGYF 170736Z AUTO 13025G44KT 1 1/4SM -TSRA BR OVC008 24/22 A2969 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS T02380222
METAR KGYF 170715Z AUTO 17041KT 7SM -TSRA SCT014 BKN029 OVC043 26/25 A2968 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS T02600248
METAR KGYF 170655Z AUTO 17030G35KT 5SM -TSRA BR SCT011 BKN022 OVC036 25/23 A2971 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0003 T02540234
METAR KGYF 170635Z AUTO 17027G35KT 1 3/4SM TS SCT007 BKN026 OVC038 26/23 A2974 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS PWINO T02580230
METAR KGYF 170615Z AUTO 19032G41KT 7SM -TSRA SCT007 BKN038 OVC043 27/25 A2973 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS T02730245
METAR KGYF 170555Z AUTO 19031G34KT 5SM -TSRA BR SCT007 SCT014 BKN028 28/26 A2971 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0016 T02790259 10329 20276 60162
METAR KGYF 170535Z AUTO 17017KT 7SM -TSRA BR BKN005 BKN017 OVC060 28/26 A2973 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0016 T02770255
METAR KGYF 170515Z AUTO 19025G29KT 5SM -TSRA BR OVC005 31/29 A2972 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0016 T0306////
METAR KGYF 170455Z AUTO 25020G49KT 210V290 1 1/4SM +TSRA BR OVC005 29/26 A2972 RMK AO2 VIS 1/2V2 1/2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0140 T02850262