cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Jul 17 2026 12:47 PM
Re: Area of Interest: Eastern Gulf

Some machine learning ensemble runs (most recent 06z).

The most recent runs of the individual members that actually do develop this system into a quasi-tropical or fully tropical cyclone almost unanimously drive it westward. It is worth noting that this may flip-flop back to tracking east again, but a lot seems to hinge on where genesis ultimately occurs, which is still a known unknown.

Google DeepMind FNV3


Google DeepMind GENC


European Centre for AI Excellence


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