cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sat Jul 18 2026 03:09 AM
Re: Area of Interest: Eastern Gulf

7/18/0z run of 50-member FNV3 ensembles has seen a significant rise in the percentage of ensemble members developing this system into a tropical storm (at least 34 KTS) from prior runs. These are only members that have attained tropical storm status, so hypothetically, there could be an implied greater odds of this disturbance becoming at least a TD (unnamed tropical cyclone).


Credit: tcatlas.org


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