cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Aug 11 2026 03:59 PM
Re: Invest 92L Lounge

Big jump up among the FNV3 ensembles this afternoon, now assigning an implied 53% chance of development, which looks reasonable if not maybe even a little conservative. NHC still at 70%. Environmental conditions for TC genesis are not ideal, but far from prohibitive, and the low pressure is already fairly well defined.