Above: Invest 92L and to the east of 92L, the next wave to have rolled off Africa. Base satellite map credit: Weathernerds.org

Another very stout wave, and one already associated with deep convection, is now being monitored by NHC with an opening bid of 20%, which could be conservative. Model runs strongly suggest that if it becomes stronger, sooner, a recurve that could put Bermuda in play looks very possible. On the other hand, model runs that suggest it develops but stays on the relatively weaker side, interests in and around the eastern Caribbean may see impacts. Considering the sudden bloom of TCs across both basins and improving conditions for additional development in the Atlantic, we are already giving this feature close attention and starting a Forecast Lounge on it now. Invest TBD.

It would not be surprising to see this feature get Invest tagged as soon as within the next 24 hours.

The convectively active wave located east of 92L has been Invest-tagged, 94L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
2026-08-13 00:00 10.3N 24.8W 25KTS
Ciel