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Invest 96L is almost certainly a tropical cyclone now, albeit still sheared and still battling dry air. The concern with the system has always been, what will it be, if anything, by the time it reaches the longitude of the Antilles, and could it even pose a risk to the Bahamas, Florida, or other Gulf coast states. Should NHC confirm TC status, then once models lock in to the reality that it is a TC now and start to conduct future runs based on this assessment, we may get some more reliable output. Until then, here is the latest early 06z track guidance (Note: an end of the track does not necessarily mean the end of the system's future, just that the model run ended at that hour OR in some cases, it could be that they lost track of the vort).
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