cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sat Aug 29 2026 12:25 PM
Re: Dolly Lounge

The 06z EPS 200-850mb wind shear forecast for late next week continues advertising a light shear regime in the Gulf and portions of the SW ATL



ECMWF model sounding average over the northern Gulf to just east of Florida advertises just 7 knots of shear and 300-850mb relative humidity of 57%


Atop very warm waters, this is more than sufficient to support tropical cyclone development. Favorable environment.


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