cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Oct 06 2026 04:06 PM
Re: 92L Lounge

Advisories likely coming at any moment.

Even without a recon mission, I'll share some initial best guesses as to future-Isaias's peak intensity. This is not necessarily intensity at landfall.

Invest-only (Currently): 0%
30-35 MPH TD: 1%
40-50 MPH Tropical Storm: 3%
60-70 MPH Tropical Storm: 11%
Cat 1 Hurricane: 13%
Cat 2 Hurricane: 20%
Cat 3 Hurricane: 23%
Cat 4 Hurricane: 22%
Cat 5 Hurricane: 7%