The latest 0z hurricane model runs are rolling in. They have now assimilated loads of recon data.

Here are some 10m wind screenshots. Credits: TropicalTidbits

The first image is going to be 48 hours out from run initialization. The second image, if there is one, is of a given model's forecast for as close to landfall time as can be possibly shown here.

HAFS-A
Cat 4 at 10/0z

Rapidly weakening heading into landfall. Possibly upper-end Tropical Storm *at* landfall per this model run.

HAFS-B
Cat 3 at 10/0z

Weakening trend. Maybe Cat 2 heading into landfall.

HMON
Landfall actually occurring roughly around 48 hours out (10/0z). Possibly higher-end Cat 2 into landfall.

HWRF
Also with a landfall right around 48 hours out from initialization (10/0z). Also possibly Cat 2 into landfall.

All in all, there is actually a lot of consensus with these four models.