IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Oct 13 2026 08:41 AM
Hybrid system late October east of Florida/north of Bahamas?

Given the pattern of fronts pushing into Florida on a weekly basis (but not yet scouring out moisture for more than a day or two), followed by high pressure setting up strong onshore flow across the peninsula, it would not be an "October surprise" to see models start to lock in on a hybrid system spinning up in the Atlantic east of Florida and north of the Abacos later in October. Several recent model runs hint at this.

Regardless of cyclogenesis, multi-day episodes of strong onshore winds, especially during the last week of the month when King tides peak, could be very impactful along Florida's east coast.

I was 26 living on a sailboat working at a county park just north of Sebastian Inlet... the analog storm still etched in my memory: Nov_1984_storm.pdf