IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Nov 02 2026 02:19 PM
Re: Hybrid system late October east of Florida/north of Bahamas?

While we haven't seen a tropical or hybrid system, late October and early November coastal weather events along central Florida's east coast is setting records. Last week around the time of the full moon we had strong onshore winds and King tides setting record non-tropical system high tide levels. The past 24 hours (and ongoing) Brevard County is experiencing Harvey-like rainfall with up to two feet of rainfall with catastrophic flooding due to a quasi-stationary warm front lifting up the east Florida coast combining with a mid-level low pressure area over the center of the peninsula. Training coastal showers (with rainfall rate of 2-3 inches per hour) continue to come in off the Atlantic in central and south Brevard County.

Barely 70 miles separates my coastal Volusia County location from this 200-yr rainfall event. As of 7 am this morning I recorded 1.51 inches of rain, with most occurring in a 45-minute period between 2:15-3 am.

National Weather Service Melbourne FL
104 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

- A Flood Watch remains in effect through 7 PM this evening. Heavy rainfall amounts up to 16 to 22 inches across southern Brevard County since midnight have led to widespread flooding from the Melbourne area south to Grant-Valkaria.