going out on a limb.....think a new center at the surface has formed in the new convection to the south....i think i see pretty good signs of reformation....if this trend holds then there is a good chance of TS status today.....shear will be lighter and less dry air near the storm......oh yeah, warmer waters too

plus a shift of initial track.....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-ir2-loop.html