I dont think the model are doing a very good job anymore I cant see soon to be td 10 going to be a fish spinner sence it is so far south. It just got away from the ITZC it really hard to image it not hiting land the only storm i ever seen to be a fish spinner that far south and that close to the Antillies is Cindy of 99 and that was only because of Emily having a larger ciculation.

Once Again sorry about my Spelling

(Forecasts based on a 'gut' feeling or a huncn belong here. Actually, the southern latitude has nothing to do with whether a storm will hit land or not - upper level atmospheric flow patterns will determine where any given storm will move. Normally at this time of year a strong high pressure ridge has established itself in the Atlantic basin and storms move east to west along the southern extent of that ridge - sometimes rather rapidly. This year the ridge has not yet established itself.)