Bloodstar
(Moderator)
Wed Aug 24 2005 02:24 PM
Re: Katrina Unofficial Forecasts

Hmmm, I'll take a guess I'll say coming in at west palm at 5PM Friday as a 100MPH Hurricane, and will exit at sarasota as a strong 60mph tropical storm heading WNW but shifting to a NW movement. I have reasoning for my thoughts but I don't think it's strong enough to be on the main page.

1) Convection is wrapping around
2) No shear
3) trekking more north than expected, giving more time over water
4) will have an opportunity to move away from the bigger bahama islands

I still expect it to drive west, but not for a little while longer
I think the second land fall will be south of Tallahassee as a Cat 1. 48 hours after exiting the florida coast initially

-mark



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