04GTP
(Registered User)
Tue Oct 04 2005 06:09 PM
GFS Projections for Tampa Bay Area

Has anyone taken a look at the 12z 10/4/05 GFS model run?

For the past two days, GFS has been predicting what looks to be a Cat-1 or Cat-2 storm winding itself up from the NE Yucatan Peninsula and working it's way to (roughly) the mouth of Tampa Bay in 66 hours or so.

It doesn't have anything to do with 92L as far as I can tell, but it looks ominous, if the model verifies over the next couple of days.

Anyone have any thoughts as to why GFS shows this genesis? Check out the 850MB vorticity loop at:
GFS MODEL LOOP


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